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I went back and broke down the data behind this graph showing US military deaths in Iraq. Here's a new graph showing deaths classified by the Department of Defense as "hostile" (caused by enemy attacks, including IED's and other attacks outside of active combat) and "non-hostile" (caused by accidents, illness, etc.) in blue. Total deaths are in grey:

Graph of US military deaths in Iraq by month, March 2003 - March 2006, showing deaths from hostile and non-hostile causes.

To see the data for yourself, go to Iraq Coaltion Casualty Count and click on the dates in the table titled "Military Fatalities: By Month". It turns out that of 2,332 confirmed deaths through March 2006, 555 were classified as "non-hostile". That's 23.8%, or almost 1 in four.

I don't mean in any way to trivialize those deaths. Those 555 men and women sacrificed their lives in serving our country. And we should repay their sacrifice by not turning their deaths into propaganda that makes our enemies seem deadlier than they are.
Posted by GaijinBiker on 04.04.2006 at 6:19pm
Topics: Iraq, Military, Politics, USA
Major Bristols (mail):
At last, GB and I agree unequivocally. "Propaganda that makes our enemies seem deadlier than they are" is a very, very bad thing. In fact, it lies at the core of our problems in the Middle East.

The sooner the mainstream media stops blowing up the Islamic militants into more of a threat than they are, the sooner we can begin to rationalize U.S. policy and strategy in the region.
4.4.2006 6:50pm
Dave Justus (mail) (www):
'rationalize'

I don't think that word means what you think it means.
4.5.2006 1:08am
Major Bristols (mail):
The primary meaning of rationalize is, indeed, not the intended one in my comment. I was using the word for its secondary meaning, which, according to the MSN Encarta dictionary is:
2. transitive verb make something rational: to make something rational, logical, or consistent
4.5.2006 6:56am
Tom W. (mail):
One thing I've never seen discussed about Operation Iraqi Freedom is how brilliantly our military avoided the slaughter that occurred the last time a great western power fought a protracted Muslim insurgency, which was the Algerian War of Independence (1954-1962).

Some people say we should increase the number of troops in Iraq to stop the violence. Well, Rumsfeld--the man so many people want to resign--knows that more troops will only mean more deaths all around.

The French had 500,000 troops in Algeria, which at that time had a population of 9 million. If you scale the troop-to-citizen ratio up to match Iraq's population, that would mean we'd need 1.5 million troops in Iraq. We currently have 138,000.

The French lost 18,000 troops killed over an eight-year period, or 2250 a year. Again, if you scale it up to Iraq ratios, it would be 6750 a year. We're losing about 700 a year, and that figure is falling.

Between 350,000 and 1.5 million Algerians were killed. To scale those figures up to Iraq, multiply them by three. So far in Iraq, about 32,000 have died, including terrorists.

The French used a policy of collective punishment in Algeria: If a village harbored insurgents, the village was bombed from the air or hit with artillery strikes. The French also tortured suspects to death, rounded people up by the thousands and shot them without trial, and put about 2 million in concentration camps. And they still lost the war.

With less than 10% of the troops (proportionally) that France had in Algeria, and with a policy not of conquest but of partnership, look what we've accomplished. More importantly, look at the slaughter we've avoided.

Something to thank Rumsfeld for.

4.5.2006 3:22pm
TokyoTom:
Tom W.:

Thanks for the perspective on the mistakes the French in Algeria. Do you think Rumsfeld made none in Iraq? If not, I'm curious what you'd consider them to be. He certainly seems to have defeated Saddam handily, but it doesn't seem that he used sufficient troops to "win the peace".

While we're all glad to see our troop losses falling, that has to be weighed in the context of the coninued growth of sectarian violence. Keeping our own troop losses low is hardly a "victory" - by that standard we would clearly have been farther ahead by keeping them at home.

Are we keeping our losses down by keeping out of the way? How much is the increased sectarian violence due to the absence of US troops? I note that guys like Powell and Zinni both advocate higher troop numbers. It is not clear to me that staying the course on troop numbers is a winning strategy in a country that is in a spiral of sectarian violence. None trusts the other, and none is a fan of the US. Here is a quote from the WaPo in February
The biggest difference in Baghdad from two or three years ago is the nearly total absence of U.S. troops on its streets. In a major gamble, the city largely has been turned over to Iraqi police and army troops. If those Iraqi forces falter, leaving a vacuum, U.S. pressure elsewhere could push the insurgency into the capital. "I think they're going to go to Baghdad" next, worried Morgan. But other U.S. officers argued that such a move is unlikely because it is more difficult to intimidate a city of 5 million than a rural village.

The streets of the capital already feel as unsafe as at any time since the 2003 invasion. As one U.S. major put it, Baghdad now resembles a pure Hobbesian state where all are at war against all others and any security is self-provided.

Army Reserve Capt. A. Heather Coyne, an outspoken former White House counterterrorism official, said, "There is a total lack of security in the streets, partly because of the insurgents, partly because of criminals, and partly because the security forces can be dangerous to Iraqi citizens too." When this reporter was permitted to review an in-depth classified intelligence summary of recent "significant acts" occurring in the capital, it appeared surprisingly incomplete, generally listing only two sorts of events: anything that affected U.S. troops, and the killing of Iraqis. Other actions affecting Iraqis — kidnappings, rapes, robberies, bombs that don't kill anyone, and a variety of forms of intimidation — don't appear to be on the U.S. military's radar screen. As one soldier put it, that's all "background noise."
4.5.2006 6:06pm
Steven Den Beste (mail) (www):
This chart still can be misinterpreted. For instance, the last big spike of deaths caused by "hostile" action is December of 2004.

That was an American offensive, mostly driven by intelligence captured with Saddam in his septic tank. The reason there were more American deaths is that for a brief period the tempo of offensive operations went way up for about 3 weeks.
4.6.2006 3:07am
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