Honda X-4Riding Sun

Motorcycles and other stuff from a New Yorker living in Tokyo
Via Fark, the Evening Standard reports on another Brit who probably wishes he were allowed to carry a gun.
Posted by GaijinBiker on 12.07.2006 at 10:37pm
Topics: Britain, Crime, Over-regulation
TokyoTom (mail):
But he was probably happy that the thieves didn`t have guns. With lower grade technolgy, he had more of a chance against them.
12.8.2006 12:47am
GaijinBiker (mail) (www):
Even if the thieves had guns, they would be less cavalier in the first place about robbing shopkeepers who might be armed themselves. As it stands, law-abiding Britons are sitting ducks.

And of course, banning guns doesn't stop crooks from having them anyway.
12.8.2006 1:07am
marybeth (www):
The newspaper has no problem with calling the robber a thug but then they pixelate his photo. Makes no sense to me.
12.8.2006 1:18am
MichaelR (mail):
they would be less cavalier in the first place about robbing shopkeepers who might be armed themselves.

You that's how it's worked out in America? "Convenience store clerk" is supposed to be the most dangerous job one can have. Are more people over here emboldened by their guns, or are Americans just special in their desire to rob stores? Could be both, but it just stands to reason that the ready availability of guns would embolden criminals. They'll either count on you not having a gun, or it won't matter because they'll have their guns out first. Or they figure it takes guts plus guns, and your average shopkeep isn't going to want to risk it.

So, yeah, "increasing the availability of guns in your country will make you all safer" seems wrong, wrong, wrong. I'm actually not a fan of gun laws, and I still think this is a bad argument.

A side issue: admittedly my sample size isn't all that large, but the brits I know, including some a gun-enthusiast conservative, have all been rather smug about how America is flooded with guns and Britain, well, isn't. And about the amount of gun violence in America.
12.8.2006 2:52am
Vinegar Joe (mail):
"Convenience store clerk" is supposed to be the most dangerous job one can have.

In the US, it's corporate policy to fire employees found with any kind of weapon. That's why it's dangerous. The clerks are unarmed and the crooks know it.
12.8.2006 10:49am
GaijinBiker (mail) (www):
In the US, it's corporate policy to fire employees found with any kind of weapon.
I wonder if this clerk will get fired...
12.8.2006 10:56am
TokyoTom (mail):
GB, there are no simple answers to this. Particular individuals MIGHT be safer if they could carry guns, but society as a whole might be less if guns are widespread and if there is greater reliance on police for the protection of public safety. Somewhat similar to the case where society as a whole may be better off where there are widespread immunizations, but it is more advantageous to particular individuals not to opt out (while still benefitting from the fact that others are immunized).

Even though countries are different, Japan is a much safer country than the US. And where central order has collapsed and people left almost entirely to their own devices (including banding into militias) like Iraq, what happens to public safety?

What underlies this is the problem of insufficient public safety, which in increases the incentives for individuals to get guns. In my view the "war on drugs" has failed miserably, increased disorder, and heightened our risks, including risks from the cops themselves.
12.8.2006 1:33pm
papa (mail) (www):
Japan is a much safer country than the US.
Sorry to jump in late, but for the record in 2005 there were 0.0177 reported crimes per capita in Japan and 0.0399 in the U.S.

Link 1 (Excel file)
Link 2
12.12.2006 1:53pm
Nero (mail):
Papa: Japan's crime statistics are often highly misleading, as they are generally not based on convictions or even on arrests, but on crime ``reports.''

If a policeman stops you and says: Is that your bike? And you say, yes, but he doubts it, then takes you and writes a report on the investigation, that is counted as a "crime."

This is typically one of several ways "foreigner" crime stats are inflated in Japan. If a convini gets held up and the clerk says he thinks the robbers were foreigners, that's counted as a crime committed by a foreigner, at least in terms of what's reported in the Japanese newspapers.

Who knows what sort of inflation the U.S. figure might be subject to, though I would guess that, rather, it would be a bit deflated, if anything, since so many crimes go unreported.

Rather amazing that, even given that, crime per capita in gun-ridden U.S. is more than twice that in virtually unarmed Japan.
12.12.2006 5:44pm
GaijinBiker (mail) (www):
Japan does keep statistics on arrests, too, ya know. I don't have time to search out the data now, but rest assured, they are out there.

A more meaningful source of bias in the data may be that many real crimes in Japan are unreported or ignored.
12.12.2006 6:11pm
Major Bristols (mail):
Comparing arrests in the U.S. with those in Japan is also problematic. U.S. cops make arrests with the slimmest evidence, knowing that the arrestee will have a fair day in court. Once a decision is made to book a suspect, they then face prosecution and trial under a presumption of innocence.

Japanese cops may question a suspect and even detain them for long periods, but generally do not arrest them until evidence virtually assuring conviction has been gathered. (I don't know, but I strongly suspect this rule of thumb is different for foreigners, atarimae.)

Part of the idea, apparently, is that there is little or no de facto presumption of innocence--an arrest is tantamount to a conviction in the eyes of the media and public, so the cops better get it right before slapping the cuffs on.

I recall the case of Joji Obara, accused of sawing off a hostesses head after drugging and raping her. Police arrived at his apartment to find cement on his hands, on the carpet and elsewhere in his apartment, along with an electric saw. It was until well after the woman's head (encased in cement) and body were found, separately, in a cave near Obara's condo that he was arrested.

Apparently, the guy is still on trial, amid rumors his wealthy family and gangster connections have helped delay justice.
12.12.2006 9:42pm
papa (mail) (www):
Nero, I didn't intend the numbers to be the final work in the debate, and did note that they were based on reported crime statistics. My intent was only to provide a quantitative and objective basis for people to judge for themselves whether or not Japan is a "much safer" country.

Obviously, for both Japan and the U.S. crime reports are not necessarily actual crimes, just as many actual crimes go unreported. Also, the statistics I found are totals for all crimes, which may or may not correspond to people's sense of safety. In the face of so many uncertain factors, I propose that in the absense of clear evidence of distortion that we assume all the factors approximately wash and take the figures at face value.
12.13.2006 1:58pm
KyotoDragon (mail):
papa, to truely grasp the meaning of the statistics don't the actual populations have to known along with rather than just with per capita figures?
12.13.2006 8:55pm
Major Bristols (mail):
Papa: I have never, ever felt myself to be a in a dangerous situation in Japan. Not once in more than 10 years here.

Among the foreign men I know, I can recall none ever describing a dangerous situation to me.

It's way beyond obvious that Japan is an extremely safe country, probably the safest on the planet. And hardly a gun in sight.

I wonder how American gun nuts wrap their brain around that very simple fact.
12.13.2006 10:06pm
papa (mail) (www):
KyotoDragon, yes, though the per capita figures are my own calculation based on the crime reporting statistics I cited in my original comment and population figures found here.

Major Bristols, my experience of fifteen years in Japan has been similar to yours regarding safety, but I also have to say that my previous twenty-eight years in the United States were equally safe. "Extremely safe" is in the eye of the beholder, and personally I don't consider an oft-repeated stereotype to be "obvious" or a "fact". It sounds to me like you're trying to sell something.
12.14.2006 4:40am
Nero (mail):
Nero, is there a shred of evidence that Japan isn't one of the world's safest, if not the safest, country?

Indeed, some people would need absolute safety before describing a place as "extremely safe" so I should amend that to, relative to most other countries, Japan is extremely safe.
12.14.2006 10:45am
GaijinBiker (mail) (www):
I think we're dealing to some extent in stereotypes here, where crime in America is focused on and exaggerated because it fits the image of America as a dangerous place, whereas crime in Japan is overlooked and minimized because "everyone knows" Japan is a safe country. The fact is, violent crime is, per capita, a pretty rare event in most developed, stable nations. I lived most of the first three decades of my life in America and was never robbed or otherwise attacked. Sure, you are much more likely to be a crime victim in certain parts of America than in others, but you could say the same thing about Japan, too. I had my pocket picked in Roppongi a few years ago; never happened to me in the States.
12.14.2006 11:00am
Major Bristols (mail):
No stereotypes here. America is a far more dangerous place than Japan, as far as violent crime goes.

What are GB's motives in trying to suggest otherwise, setting his feeble assertions against mountains of case-closing evidence?
12.14.2006 9:46pm
GaijinBiker (mail) (www):
I don't deny that Japan, on average, is safer than America in terms of violent crime (although I think the difference is often exaggerated due to outdated stereotypes). But there are many reasons why this is so, and I suspect the right to own guns, by itself, is not one of them.

The question, as I have repeated noted, is not whether America with gun rights is safer than Japan without gun rights. It's whether America with gun rights is safer than America without gun rights. And I don't believe Americans would be safer if only the bad guys had guns, and knew their victims did not.
12.14.2006 10:24pm
papa (mail) (www):
Major Bristols, you are overplaying my hand. It's you who are making the assertions and me who put the evidence on the table.

The facts that have been presented show that Japan has lower reported crime than the U.S. and that likely makes it a safer place over-all. Why don't you try to build an argument from there instead of insisting on emotionally-charged characterizations of "extremely" and "far more".
12.14.2006 10:35pm
Nero (mail):
Papa: I'm missing your point entirely. Your numbers prove what I said. I'm not overplaying anything here.
12.15.2006 6:26pm
papa (mail) (www):
Nero, unless you and Major Bristols are the same person I didn't say you were overplaying anything. I was objecting to the Major's insistence on extreme characterizations without supporting facts and emotionally charged word choices.
12.15.2006 6:44pm
TokyoTom (mail):
This is an old snapshot, but we do need to compare apples and oranges.

Unfortunately, it's because the US is much less safer than most Western nations that people are so reluctant to give up their guns - a reluctance that I completely understand.

But I think that it's fair to say that the relatively easy availability of hand guns in the US exacerbates the lack of security that many feel and that motivates their gun possession.
12.15.2006 9:37pm
Major Bristols (mail):

``Major's insistence on extreme characterizations without supporting facts and emotionally charged word choices.''



Papa: I asserted Japan is extremely safe and cited the supporting fact that in my more than 10 years here, I've not only not been a victim of violent crime, but have never seen a violent crime take place. You buttressed my supporting facts, saying your personal experience is congruent.

This comes after you cited statistics showing the U.S. is twice as dangerous, crimewise, as Japan--figures I commented on, but indicated I essentially agreed with.

How is it that you now come to the idea that my characterizations--which include factual support from both you and me and which you indicate agreement with--are "extreme." And what do you think are the "emotionally charged" words I'm using?

Do you mean that you remain unconvinced that Japan's one of the safest countries in the world? I'm really at a loss here as to what you mean to say.
12.16.2006 9:20am
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